World Cup Odds - bookies guess the groups (automatically updates - so check back)
Some of the groups are set. Indeed, the US and England, the two teams I really care about, already know who they will be facing in the next round. The US will face Ghana, certainly a winnable match, but the interesting part is that one of the teams from among the U.S., Ghana, South Korea and Uruguay will be in the semifinals. A fairly unlikely crew.
For England, it is in a corner of the bracket with Germany, Argentina, and Mexico.. which is.. not good. If it beats Germany (and I really hope it does) it will then have to get past Argentina, which will be... difficult. Not to mention the fact that England loves both the Germans and the Argentinians (for those who dont remember such things - the Falklands war was between the UK and Argentina in '82 - we spanked them like a German at a sex-expo).
Anyway - here are some simulated odds pulled together - perhaps the most interesting is that Spain, which came in as #2 in the world and with many people expecting them to win it all, has under a 70% chance of advancing and is ranked below Uruguay and well below Argentina in terms of odds to win the cup.
As you may notice - this thing updates itself, so check back to look at the odds. Will put up a new one once we are out of the group stage.
For England, it is in a corner of the bracket with Germany, Argentina, and Mexico.. which is.. not good. If it beats Germany (and I really hope it does) it will then have to get past Argentina, which will be... difficult. Not to mention the fact that England loves both the Germans and the Argentinians (for those who dont remember such things - the Falklands war was between the UK and Argentina in '82 - we spanked them like a German at a sex-expo).
Anyway - here are some simulated odds pulled together - perhaps the most interesting is that Spain, which came in as #2 in the world and with many people expecting them to win it all, has under a 70% chance of advancing and is ranked below Uruguay and well below Argentina in terms of odds to win the cup.
As you may notice - this thing updates itself, so check back to look at the odds. Will put up a new one once we are out of the group stage.
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