Peak Rare Elements
Peak Everything
You’ve heard of Peak Oil? Well, yeah, thats actually a long way off. But these? These are real. And could have a significant impact. Especially on my plan to build a airship cruise liner which uses Li batteries and super-magnets to distribute phosphorus to farmers. Yeah...
Lithium | Neodymium | Phosphorus | Helium | |
The theory | There is not enough lithium in the world to make a new generation of battery-powered cars. | Rare earth magnets are in everything from disk drives to EVs to wind turbines and there is no end to demand in sight. | Fifty years of mining phosphorus for fertilizer has depleted the world’s phosphate mines. | The closing of the National Helium Reserve, established in the 1920s to supply military airships, will destroy the market. |
Why you should worry | American-controlled deposits in NV are dwindling. | The Chinese, source of 95 percent of the world’s Nd, recently announced that they would be restricting the export of the metal. | Between 2003 and 2008, phosphate fertilizer prices rose approximately 350 percent. | Switching to hydrogen is risky. Remember theHindenburg? |
Why you shouldn’t worry | Battery tech is in it’s infancy, and zinc-air looks pretty promising. | New legislation aims to restart domestic neodymium production this year. | The phosphorus in one person’s urine is close to the amount needed to fertilize one person’s food supply. | Seriously, when is the last time you were in a blimp? |
What you could do about it | Follow Warren Buffett’s lead and buy shares of Chinese battery maker BYD. | Support mandatory recycling laws for electric cars. | Install a composting toilet. | Swear off the balloon-bouquets. |
The bottom line | 1 share of BYD = $6.50 | Every Prius comes with I kilo of neodymium inside = $50 | 1 Loveable Loo eco-toilet = $195 | Two days of pilot training at airship ventures = $2950 |
Read More http://www.wired.com/inspiredbyyou/2010/10/peak-everything/?ibypid=13#ixzz12U0EgJjf
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