Obama and Iran
Obama has stated that he is seeking a "comprehensive approach" towards Iran. The broad consensus is that he means diplomacy rather than any action.
His approach is either a miscalculation of the reality of the situation or an intentional distancing of the US from Israel.
Israel is about a week away from an election, and Netanyahu is the frontrunner. He has stated his first move as PM would be to neutralize the Iranian threat, a threat he calls the greatest threat to Israel and all humanity.
Coupled with the estimates that it will be about a year before Iran can build its nuke, and the impending deployment of the recently purchased S-300 air defense system from Russia, it is essentially guaranteed at this point that Israel will strike.
In this case, if I were Israel, I would strike first. The question is whether Obama will support the action. And in my opinion, he will simply fudge it. In order to avoid making a decision, he will attept to show that he is on both sides of the coin at the same time. How well he pulls that off will be a major test of his and his administration's foreign policy abilities.
His approach is either a miscalculation of the reality of the situation or an intentional distancing of the US from Israel.
Israel is about a week away from an election, and Netanyahu is the frontrunner. He has stated his first move as PM would be to neutralize the Iranian threat, a threat he calls the greatest threat to Israel and all humanity.
Coupled with the estimates that it will be about a year before Iran can build its nuke, and the impending deployment of the recently purchased S-300 air defense system from Russia, it is essentially guaranteed at this point that Israel will strike.
In this case, if I were Israel, I would strike first. The question is whether Obama will support the action. And in my opinion, he will simply fudge it. In order to avoid making a decision, he will attept to show that he is on both sides of the coin at the same time. How well he pulls that off will be a major test of his and his administration's foreign policy abilities.
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